2025 AFC Championship Game: DVOA Preview (2026)

The 2025 AFC Championship Game between the New England Patriots and the Denver Broncos is set to be an intriguing matchup, with a lot riding on the outcome. The Patriots, led by MVP candidate Drake Maye, are favored to win, but the game's dynamics have shifted due to Denver quarterback Bo Nix's broken ankle and his replacement by backup Jarrett Stidham. The Patriots' easy schedule and the Broncos' strong defense, led by Pat Surtain II, make for an interesting contrast. The game will be a test of the Patriots' offense against the Broncos' defense, with the key question being how Stidham performs in his first start since 2023. The Patriots' pass defense has been strong, but the Broncos' pass rush, led by Nik Bonitto, could be a significant challenge. The Patriots' run game has improved in the second half of the season, while the Broncos' run defense has declined. Special teams will also play a role, with the Patriots' punt returner Marcus Jones and the Broncos' special teams leader Gunner Devon Key. The Patriots are favored to win, but the Broncos have a chance, especially if Stidham surprises. The game promises to be a close and exciting contest, with the Patriots' home-field advantage and the Broncos' strong defense making for a compelling matchup.

2025 AFC Championship Game: DVOA Preview (2026)
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